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The Death of the Junior Developer

Three Offers Before Graduation — Now 200 Applications and Silence

In 2021, a junior developer with a CS degree had three offers before graduation. Companies ran intern-to-hire pipelines and graduate academies. Bootcamp grads with 12 weeks of training landed six-figure roles. "Learn to code" was a guaranteed ticket to the middle class.

The Software Shrinkflation Hamburger

The Meat Got Very, Very Thin

Every software project is a hamburger. The top bun is problem definition — understanding users, framing requirements, knowing what "done" looks like. The bottom bun is delivery — infrastructure, deployment, monitoring, operations. The meat in the middle is the development work. AI shrinkflated the meat. Code that took a team of five three months now takes one person two weeks. The buns stayed the same size. The meat nearly disappeared.

The Cambrian Explosion of Software

Good Ideas Died Because Building Was Too Expensive

Every industry has tools that should have been replaced years ago — the Fortran tunnel calculator, the Visual Basic claims processor, the hospital scheduler that predates the iPhone. They survived not because they were good, but because replacing them cost more than living with them. The budget was never justified. The project was never green-lit.

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